An Essay Towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances

"An Essay Towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances" is a work on the mathematical theory of probability by Thomas Bayes, published in 1763, two years after its author's death, and containing multiple amendments and additions due to his friend Richard Price. The title comes from the contemporary use of the phrase "doctrine of chances" to mean the theory of probability, which had been introduced via the title of a book by Abraham de Moivre.

Source: Wikipedia — An Essay Towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances (CC BY-SA 4.0)